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The G6 Game of the Year Is Already Here

Memphis and Boise State meet Saturday in a game that could define the Group of 6 playoff race before October

Tim Stephens

Tim Stephens

We are one week into the 2026 season and the Group of 6's most important game is already on the schedule. Memphis travels to Boise State on Saturday. The winner walks away with the kind of resume line the College Football Playoff committee remembers in November. The loser does not get eliminated — but the margin for error shrinks to almost nothing.

This is not a statement you can make about most Week 2 games. This one earned it in about six hours on Saturday night.

What Boise State proved at Autzen

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Boise State went into Autzen Stadium and punched No. 2 Oregon in the mouth. The Broncos marched 75 yards on the opening possession — 11 plays, 6 minutes and 23 seconds — and scored a touchdown in front of 57,652. By late in the second quarter, it was 17-7. Maddux Madsen had thrown two touchdown passes. Oregon's defense, the one everybody spent the offseason calling the best in the country, was on its heels.

The Ducks rallied. Of course they did — they are Oregon, at home, with Dante Moore at quarterback. Moore threw for 378 yards and three touchdowns, including a 62-yard strike to Dakorien Moore with 7:51 left that broke a 27-27 tie and finished the Broncos. Oregon won 34-27.

But here is what matters: Boise State did not play like a program hoping to stay close. When Oregon took a 24-17 lead in the third quarter, Madsen answered with an eight-play, 75-yard drive that ended on a fourth-down touchdown catch by Matt Wagner to tie it at 24. The Broncos converted 2-of-3 fourth downs. They committed three penalties for 25 yards while Oregon committed 10 for 90. Madsen finished 15-of-29 for 181 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions against a defense loaded with future NFL draft picks.

Every time Oregon swung, Boise State swung back. The Broncos feel like they should have won that game. And they have every right to think so.

"This Boise State Bronco team is going to battle to the end with anybody," Madsen said. "That's the best part about it."

This is not new. Boise State leads the all-time series against Oregon 3-2. Both losses have been one-possession games. A G6 program from Idaho owns a winning record against one of the most resource-rich programs in college football. That is not an anomaly. That is a pattern. And no matter how hard the Entitled 4 media and their fan bases try to downplay it, the record is the record.

Spencer Danielson did not claim a moral victory — he refused one. "There's no moral victories," he said. "My heart hurts. When you put your all into something and you go all chips on the table and you come up short, it hurts." Danielson took full responsibility, then told his team something they will carry into Saturday: "What delayed is not denied."

Linebacker Boen Phelps put it more directly: "We're here. We can compete. We're not going to shy away from anybody."

What Memphis proved at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Memphis survived a game it was supposed to win comfortably — and the survival matters more than the margin.

Arkansas State came in motivated. The Red Wolves view Memphis as a rivalry game, an opportunity, regardless of whether Memphis returns the sentiment. Arkansas State led 3-0 after the first quarter and trailed only 28-24 in the third. They put up 434 yards of total offense and scored on two quick-strike drives that tested Memphis' secondary. This was not a cupcake lying down.

Memphis took control in the second half the way Charles Huff's teams are built to take control — by running the football until the opponent breaks. Forty-seven seconds after Arkansas State cut the lead to four, Jaylin Carter broke a 74-yard touchdown run that put the game at 35-24. He added a 24-yard scoring run in the fourth quarter to finish it 42-24. Carter's final line: 19 carries, 183 yards, four touchdowns, 9.6 yards per carry.

Carter was not alone. Manny Covey ran 15 times for 103 yards. Memphis rushed 48 times for 335 yards at 7.0 per carry — the most rushing yards in a game for the program since 2018. The defense intercepted Trey Owens four times. Once the Tigers locked in, the game was over.

Huff was asked about the "trap game" narrative after Memphis' Week 1 win over UNLV. "I don't know what that is," he said. "You get 12 opportunities to play the game you say you love so why would you be trapped?"

Memphis is 2-0. The Tigers sold out their new stadium — 45,632 at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. And Huff already knows what is next. When a reporter asked about having film on Boise State for the first time this season, he smiled: "I'll figure that out in about four hours. I may be watching the New York Jets and it may not help at all."

Why Saturday matters for the CFP race

The game airs nationally on USA Network — the Pac-12's new broadcast partner. That is not an accident. The new Pac-12 is building its brand around games exactly like this one, showcase matchups that prove the conference belongs in the same conversation as the Entitled 4. Boise State is the flagship. Saturday is the stage.

The 12-team College Football Playoff reserves one spot for the highest-ranked Group of 6 conference champion. One. That means the AAC champion and the Pac-12 champion are competing for the same seat. Memphis and Boise State play in different conferences — but they are fighting for the same thing.

A win in Boise gives Memphis a road victory against a team that just went toe-to-toe with the No. 2 team in the country. That is the kind of win the committee weighs heavily. A loss at Oregon already sits on Boise State's record, but a one-possession loss to the No. 2 team is not a disqualifier — it might even be a credential if the Broncos win out from here. A home win over a 2-0 Memphis team that is running the ball at 7.0 yards per carry reinforces the argument that the Oregon game was real.

The loser faces a narrower path. Not a dead end — but narrow.

The matchup: ground game vs. playoff pedigree

Memphis wants to run. That much is obvious. Carter and Covey combined for 286 yards on 34 carries against Arkansas State. Marcus Stokes completed 80 percent of his passes but threw only 15 times. Huff's offense takes what the defense gives, and right now the defense is giving Memphis the run.

Boise State's defense held Oregon to 119 rushing yards on 25 attempts — 4.8 per carry, but 90 of those belonged to Jordon Davison, and 40 came on one run. Strip out that one carry and Oregon averaged 3.3 per attempt on the ground. The Broncos tackled well. Danielson called it the biggest improvement from last season: "I think we were the worst tackling team in the country last year. So, it's been a while."

The question is whether Boise State can stop Memphis' rushing attack while generating enough offense to keep pace. The Broncos managed only 93 rushing yards on 36 carries at Oregon — 2.6 per attempt. Madsen will need to throw, and he will need to be as clean as he was Saturday. Zero interceptions against Oregon's secondary is not an accident. But 181 yards on 29 attempts is not going to beat a Memphis team that can score 42.

Rasean Jones — a true freshman — led Boise State with four catches for 76 yards in his first college game. Danielson called him "a phenomenal kid" who "could be one of the best players we've ever had at Boise State." If Jones and Sire Gaines can stretch the field at home, Madsen has enough arm to keep Memphis honest.

The rest of the road

A single game does not decide a playoff berth. The rest of the schedule does. And the G6 path is never as easy as Entitled 4 fans want to believe.

Before Boise State even gets to conference play, the Broncos travel to Western Michigan on Sept. 26. Western Michigan played a non-conference road game at Michigan in Week 1 and should have won — WMU was on the wrong end of a finish that left the MAC fuming. That is not a team that is going to roll over for a visiting Pac-12 program. It is a team with something to prove.

The Pac-12 slate includes a trip to Washington State on Oct. 24 and Oregon State at home on Nov. 14. Those are the conference games that could trip the Broncos. Boise State's path to a conference title is clear if they handle business — but the road is not empty.

Memphis has a different challenge. The American Conference schedule includes Army at home on Oct. 31, at Tulane on Oct. 16, at Navy on Nov. 21, and at South Florida on Nov. 12. Army is the most dangerous opponent on that list. Memphis needs to avoid the kind of slow starts that let Arkansas State hang around for three quarters. A second-half team can survive September. It will not survive November.

Huff acknowledged it: "Hopefully, we can get out of this living in the second half world because we're going to face some teams who can play 60 minutes as well."

The bottom line

Saturday at Albertsons Stadium is a Week 2 game with November stakes. Both coaches know it. Both quarterbacks know it. Both fan bases know it.

Imagine if games like this — Memphis at Boise State, Western Michigan hosting Boise State, programs that just proved they belong on any field in the country — were all part of the same national division. Imagine the stakes. Imagine the television audience. That is the premise behind the Diehard League. The demand is there. The talent is there. The only thing missing is a structure that forces the country to pay attention.

Until then, these programs fight for visibility one game at a time.

Madsen captured the shift without even trying: "It's weird to think we've got a game next week because for the last 300 days it's been Oregon. So now we just got to keep fighting. Long season."

The long season starts Saturday at 4 p.m. Mountain Time on USA Network. One of these teams will leave Boise with a defining win. The other will spend the rest of the fall trying to build one.

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Tim Stephens

Tim Stephens

Founder & CEO

Tim Stephens has spent nearly 40 years at the intersection of sports and technology — from small-town newspapers to leading day-to-day newsroom strategy for CBSSports.com. He founded Diehard Sports Network to cover the programs the industry forgot.

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